Wednesday, February 27, 2008
Globalization, Meet Gates of the Arctic
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Endurance Sports Meet Private Equity
Triathlons are a $1.3 billion industry and growing; membership has risen by 23% since 2002 and is now growing by 35% a year, according to USA Triathlon, the sport's official governing body."
Moreover, the demographics "are highly attractive to marketers," says Moross, noting that the average household income for triathletes is $160,000.
I haven't quite processed all of this yet. But I'm pretty sure that this is not a good thing, and that it signals the top of the running/cycling/triathlon boom."Where we see big value is where we can harness all customers who read these magazines. It's all about being able to spend more money and get folks to buy things," he adds. Revenue comes from entry fees, sponsorship, TV, merchandise and fitness expos.
Friday, February 8, 2008
The End of the Specialty Running Store
Some of the stores are seemingly no bigger than a closet and their wares fairly limited. But for a generation, specialty running stores have managed to survive — even thrive — around the country despite competition from the big chains and online and mail order outlets. These small stores may be at a turning point, though. They face newly invigorated competition from bigger players looking for a piece of their profitable action. Chief among them is Road Runner Sports, a 25-year-old mail order (and now Internet) powerhouse based in San Diego. The company is opening its 19th store this month, and its president and chief executive, Michael Gotfredson, has a goal of 100. The Road Runner stores offer the same personalized service as their specialty rivals but are far bigger (8,500 square feet of selling space, on average) and have a more extensive inventory. At the same time, the specialty running stores are, in effect, graying. Some of the pioneers of the genre got into the business more than 30 years ago, and are now close to retirement age, many without a succession plan.
Friday, February 1, 2008
So much for the great moderation!
So, how bad could this get?
Until a few months ago, it was accepted wisdom that the American economy functioned far more smoothly than in the past. Economic expansions lasted longer, and recessions were both shorter and milder. Inflation had been tamed. The spreading of financial risk, across institutions and around the world, had reduced the odds of a crisis.
Back in 2004, Ben Bernanke, then a Federal Reserve governor, borrowed a phrase from an academic research paper to give these happy developments a name: “the great moderation.”
These days, though, the great moderation isn’t looking quite so great — or so moderate.
The great moderation now seems to have depended — in part — on a huge speculative bubble, first in stocks and then real estate, that hid the economy’s rough edges. Everyone from first-time home buyers to Wall Street chief executives made bets they did not fully understand, and then spent money as if those bets couldn’t go bad. For the past 16 years, American consumers have increased their overall spending every single quarter, which is almost twice as long as any previous streak.